{"id":13361,"date":"2013-07-24T16:22:51","date_gmt":"2013-07-24T13:22:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=13361"},"modified":"2013-07-24T16:26:01","modified_gmt":"2013-07-24T13:26:01","slug":"petroldeki-artis-buyumeyi-ve-cari-acigi-olumsuz-etkileyebilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/petroldeki-artis-buyumeyi-ve-cari-acigi-olumsuz-etkileyebilir\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Petroldeki Art\u0131\u015f, B\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi Ve Cari A\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 Olumsuz Etkileyebilir"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

Vadeli \u0130\u015flem ve Emtia Piyasalar\u0131 Uzman\u0131 Zafer Ergezen, k\u00fcresel piyasalarda petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki sert y\u00fckseli\u015fin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ciddi oranda b\u00fcy\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirterek, fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131 halinde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi ve cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n olumsuz etkilenmesinin beklenebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ergezen, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ile k\u00fcresel piyasalarda i\u015flem g\u00f6ren petrol\u00fcn T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ve t\u00fcketiciye etkisini de\u011ferlendirdi. Kuzey Amerika i\u00e7in g\u00f6sterge olarak kullan\u0131lan Bat\u0131 Teksas petrol\u00fc (WTI) fiyat\u0131n\u0131n, Avrupa, Ortado\u011fu ve Asya \u00fclkelerinde kullan\u0131lan Brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131na yak\u0131n seyretmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Ergezen, \u201cBrent petrol Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki gerilim nedeniyle y\u00fckselerek nisan ay\u0131ndan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD ekonomisinin toparlanmas\u0131yla, Bat\u0131 Teksas petrol\u00fc (WTI) petrol\u00fcne olan talep de art\u0131yor. Fakat as\u0131l dikkati \u00e7eken nokta, ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7en hafta 6,9 milyon azalarak 367 milyon varile d\u00fc\u015fmesiydi\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

ABD ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n son \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn 27 milyon varile ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na aktaran Ergezen, \u201cBu miktardaki bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k bazda ilk defa ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor. WTI ve Brent petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n, yeniden birbirine yak\u0131n seyretmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Kas\u0131m 2010 tarihinden sonra artan bu fark, Ekim 2011 tarihinde 28,08 dolar ile rekor seviyeye ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Oysa 2010 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar ge\u00e7en 16 y\u0131ll\u0131k s\u00fcre\u00e7 boyunca ikisi aras\u0131ndaki fark, varil ba\u015f\u0131na 5 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrediyordu\u201d bilgisini verdi.<\/p>\n

ABD kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretimindeki art\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/p>\n

ABD\u2019de artan kaya gaz\u0131 (shale gas) \u00fcretiminin \u00fclkedeki petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131 ciddi oranda art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 aktaran Ergezen, \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti: \u201cD\u00fcnya ekonomilerinin durgunluk ile sava\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 2010 y\u0131l\u0131ndan sonra ABD\u2019de kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretiminde ya\u015fanan \u015fahlan\u0131\u015f stoklar\u0131n da y\u00fckselmesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Bununla beraber vadeli WTI petrol\u00fcn teslim yeri olan Cushing-Oklahoma (ABD) B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin direkt rafinelere ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131 olmamas\u0131 nedeniyle stoklama ve nakliye maliyetleri artt\u0131. Sonu\u00e7 olarak WTI ve Brent petrol aras\u0131ndaki fiyat fark\u0131, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda 28,08 dolara kadar y\u00fckseldi. Fakat ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta WTI petrol\u00fcn fiyat\u0131, 2010 y\u0131l\u0131ndan sonra yeniden Brent petrole yakla\u015ft\u0131, hatta bir ara \u00fczerine bile \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. 2013 y\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda Cushing ve Teksas ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayan Seaway boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131yla, WTI petrol\u00fcn uluslararas\u0131 da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m noktalar\u0131na eri\u015fimi sa\u011fland\u0131.\u201d<\/p>\n

Ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmelerle \u015fubat ay\u0131nda 23 dolar olan WTI ve Brent petrol aras\u0131ndaki fiyat fark\u0131n\u0131n azalmaya ba\u015fla\"\"<\/a>d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 an\u0131msatan Ergezen, WTI petrol\u00fcn uluslararas\u0131 piyasaya ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n kolayla\u015fmas\u0131yla, ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n da azalmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti.<\/p>\n

Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te ABD ekonomisinin de iyile\u015fmeye devam etmesiyle, WTI petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n da y\u00fckseldi\u011fini belirten Ergezen, \u201cBrent petrolde ise tam tersi, talebin halen yeterli olmamas\u0131 fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019de g\u00f6lge bankac\u0131l\u0131k sorunlar\u0131 artarken, Avrupa\u2019da ekonomik sorunlar halen \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclemedi. Bu noktada ABD ekonomisinin di\u011fer \u00fclke ekonomilerinden daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme kavu\u015fmas\u0131, WTI ve Brent petrol aras\u0131ndaki fiyat fark\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir rol oynuyor\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesini yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u201cABD kendi enerji ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layacak duruma geldi\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

ABD\u2019nin petrol ithalat\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcnde 7,5 milyon varil ile 2000 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck rakama geriledi\u011fini vurgulayan Ergezen, d\u00fcnya devinin ithal etti\u011finden fazla petrol \u00fcretti\u011fine i\u015faret etti. Ergezen, \u201cABD\u2019nin kaya petrol\u00fc \u00fcretimiyle, kendi enerji ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layacak duruma geldi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor\u201d ifadesini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n, hem \u00fclke ekonomisi hem de ki\u015fisel gelir a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6sterge oldu\u011funu aktaran Ergezen, petrol\u00fcn k\u00fcresel piyasalara en \u00f6nemli etkisinin, \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda gelir transferine sebebiyet vermesi oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Ergezen, \u201c\u00d6zellikle petrol ithalat\u0131 y\u00fcksek \u00fclkelerde, artan petrol harcamalar\u0131, milli gelirin azalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Bunun sonucu olarak, b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131 da olumsuz etkileniyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fcnde, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6renlerinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi beklenmektedir\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

\u201cPetrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, \u00f6demeler dengesini olumsuz etkiliyor\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zafer Ergezen, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye gibi d\u0131\u015f enerji ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek \u00fclkelerde, \u00f6demeler dengesini olumsuz etkiledi\u011fini vurgulayarak, \u201cBu nedenle petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131 halinde, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi ve cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n olumsuz etkilenmesi beklenebilir\u201d dedi. K\u00fcresel piyasalardaki petrol fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke t\u00fcketicileri i\u00e7in ilk etkisinin, benzin fiyatlar\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015f oldu\u011funu anlatan Ergezen, \u015funlar\u0131 ifade etti:<\/p>\n

\u201cArt\u0131\u015f kal\u0131c\u0131 oldu\u011fu taktirde, \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, t\u00fcketiciye yans\u0131t\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Bu durumda, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 etkisi ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda 30,5 milyar dolarl\u0131k petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ithalat\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015fti. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki her y\u00fczde 10\u2032luk art\u0131\u015f, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den 3 milyar dolar gelir g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcyor. B\u00f6ylece hem milli gelir azal\u0131yor hem de bireylerin al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, vergi gelirlerinin de artmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda petrol sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden elde edilen vergiler 50,5 milyar liraya ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Artan vergi y\u00fck\u00fc, ki\u015fisel gelirin azalmas\u0131na neden olarak sonras\u0131nda gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n bozulmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor.\u201d<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de son d\u00f6nemde artan enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n, ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00e7ok daha \u00f6nemli hale geldi\u011fine dikkati \u00e7eken Ergezen, \u201cEnerji ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltabilen bir T\u00fcrkiye, \u00e7ok daha fazla milli gelir sa\u011flayabilir ve daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir ekonomik yap\u0131 olu\u015fturabilir\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Vadeli \u0130\u015flem ve Emtia Piyasalar\u0131 Uzman\u0131 Zafer Ergezen, k\u00fcresel piyasalarda petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki sert y\u00fckseli\u015fin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ciddi oranda b\u00fcy\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirterek, fiyat […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10246,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[1198,7140,6971,1575,7138,63,7141,67,165,6571,7139,347,846,6523,6793],"views":484,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13361"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13361"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13361\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13363,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13361\/revisions\/13363"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10246"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13361"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13361"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13361"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}