{"id":127940,"date":"2021-01-26T12:42:08","date_gmt":"2021-01-26T09:42:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=127940"},"modified":"2021-01-26T12:43:16","modified_gmt":"2021-01-26T09:43:16","slug":"pandemi-krizinde-2021-ekonomi-ongoruleri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/pandemi-krizinde-2021-ekonomi-ongoruleri\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Pandemi Krizi’nde 2021 Ekonomi \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

Uzmanlar pandemi krizinin yaratm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu sosyo-ekonomik etkilerin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/strong><\/h1>\n

2020 y\u0131l\u0131 koronavir\u00fcs pandemisi<\/strong> nedeni ile modern d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu en b\u00fcy\u00fck krizlerden birinin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 olarak tarihte yerini alm\u0131\u015f<\/strong> durumda. Vir\u00fcse kar\u015f\u0131 a\u015f\u0131 uygulamalar\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131n ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 gelecek i\u00e7in olumlu sinyaller verse de, uzmanlar krizin 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 sonuna<\/strong> kadar etkisini devam ettirece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\"\"Pandemi krizi<\/strong>nin ekonomik etkilerinin sekt\u00f6rel bazda b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fimler g\u00f6sterdi\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izen\u00a0Dinamo Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k Kurucu Orta\u011f\u0131, Kamu \u00d6zel Ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (PPP) ve Proje Finansman\u0131 Uzman\u0131 Fatih Kuran<\/strong>, \u201cSekt\u00f6rlerin \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc de\u011fi\u015fen \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclerde olumsuz etkilenirken baz\u0131 sekt\u00f6rler ise olumlu olarak ayr\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumdalar. Kriz turizm, ula\u015f\u0131m, restoran<\/strong> ve e\u011flence sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, otomotiv, enerji<\/strong> ve genel olarak g\u0131da d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda<\/strong> kalan \u00fcretim sekt\u00f6rlerini olumsuz etkiledi. Baz\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerin 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 kapasitelerine<\/strong> eri\u015fimin ancak 3-4 y\u0131l<\/strong> gibi uzun bir zaman alabilece\u011fi de tahmin edilmekte. Di\u011fer yandan\u00a0e-ticaret, online al\u0131\u015fveri\u015f<\/strong> ve kurye hizmetleri, bilgi<\/strong> ve ileti\u015fim teknolojileri, ki\u015fisel bak\u0131m<\/strong> ve sa\u011fl\u0131k, g\u0131da<\/strong> ve perakende zincirleri<\/strong>, tar\u0131m, t\u0131bbi malzeme ve hizmetler ile ilgili sekt\u00f6rler ise krizden olumlu olarak etkilenmi\u015f durumdalar.<\/em><\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca, pandemi nedeni ile uluslararas\u0131 tedarik zincirinde<\/strong> \u00c7in kaynakl\u0131 \u00f6nemli aksamalar ya\u015fanmas\u0131n\u0131n yeni d\u00f6nemde tedarik zincirinde konsantrasyon riskinin y\u00f6netimine daha fazla dikkat \u00e7ekece\u011fi beklenmektedir. Bu nedenle \u015firketlerin tedarik\u00e7i portf\u00f6ylerinin co\u011frafi bazda nicelik olarak geli\u015ftirilmesine odaklanmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. S\u00f6z konusu durum T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ba\u015fta tekstil<\/strong> ve otomotiv<\/strong> olmak \u00fczere \u00f6nemli f\u0131rsatlar<\/strong> yaratabilir.<\/em><\/p>\n

Yan\u0131 s\u0131ra \u00fclke y\u00f6netimlerinin tar\u0131m, g\u0131da<\/strong> ve sa\u011fl\u0131k malzemeleri<\/strong> gibi temel ihtiya\u00e7 maddelerinin tedari\u011finin kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde bir daha problem te\u015fkil etmemesi i\u00e7in bundan b\u00f6yle a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak yerel bazda temin edilmesi i\u00e7in tedbirler almas\u0131 da s\u00fcrpriz olmayacakt\u0131r. ABD y\u00f6netimin<\/strong> \u00fclke ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 garanti alt\u0131na almak amac\u0131 ile maske ihracat\u0131n\u0131 yasaklamas\u0131<\/strong> bu duruma iyi bir \u00f6rnek te\u015fkil etmektedir. Bu \u015fekilde global ticaretin<\/strong> \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc kota<\/strong> ve vergi uygulamalar\u0131<\/strong> ile s\u0131n\u0131rlayacak uygulamalar geri gelip yerel \u00fcretimler te\u015fvik edilebilir.\u201d<\/em> dedi.<\/p>\n

Teknolojik De\u011fi\u015fim ve D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Di\u011fer taraftan otomotiv<\/strong> ve makine<\/strong> \u00fcretim sekt\u00f6rleri gibi baz\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde, pandemi krizinden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir teknolojik de\u011fi\u015fim<\/strong> ve d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn<\/strong> ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131na de\u011finen Fatih Kuran,<\/strong> “Bu s\u00fcrecin en az \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki on y\u0131la damgas\u0131n\u0131 vuraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 rahatl\u0131kla ifade edebiliriz. De\u011fi\u015fimin b\u00fcy\u00fck ya da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck t\u00fcm oyuncular\u0131 etkisi alt\u0131na almas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmazd\u0131r ve yeni duruma adapte olmak i\u00e7in i\u015fletmelerin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli yat\u0131r\u0131mlar yapma ihtiyac\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu olacakt\u0131r. Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131 makine, ekipman, donan\u0131m \u015feklinde sabit yat\u0131r\u0131m ve kalan k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n da teknoloji transferi<\/strong> ile ara\u015ft\u0131rma geli\u015ftirme yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere entellekt\u00fcel sermaye<\/strong> \u015feklinde olmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemekteyiz. Bahsetti\u011fimiz b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00f6zellikle k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck<\/strong> ve orta boy i\u015fletmelerin<\/strong> tek ba\u015flar\u0131na ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeleri ve yeni ekonomide rekabet g\u00fc\u00e7lerini koruyabilmeleri \u00e7o\u011fu i\u015fletme i\u00e7in m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olamayacakt\u0131r. Bu nedenle daha b\u00fcy\u00fck hacimlere ula\u015farak \u00f6l\u00e7ek ekonomisinden faydalan\u0131p maliyetleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek, Ar-Ge maliyetlerinden tasarruf<\/strong> etmek, teknoloji transferi sa\u011flamak, sat\u0131\u015f<\/strong> ile da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m kanallar\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> daha verimli y\u00f6netebilmek<\/strong> ve yeni pazarlara a\u00e7\u0131lmak amac\u0131 ile \u015firket sat\u0131n alma ve birle\u015fme i\u015flemlerinde \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda global d\u00fczeyde<\/strong> \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini beklemekteyiz.\u201d<\/em> dedi.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrk \u015eirketlerinde Sat\u0131n Alma ve Birle\u015fme \u0130\u015flemleri<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Fatih Kuran<\/strong>, ayr\u0131ca T\u00fcrk yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar<\/strong> a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan sat\u0131n alma<\/strong> ve birle\u015fme i\u015flemlerinin<\/strong> yurt i\u00e7i ve d\u0131\u015f\u0131 olarak iki k\u0131s\u0131mda incelenebilece\u011fine vurgu yapt\u0131: \u201cYurt i\u00e7i i\u015flemler iki T\u00fcrk \u015firketin birle\u015fmesi \u015feklinde olabilece\u011fi gibi yabanc\u0131 \u015firketlerin<\/strong> de \u00f6zellikle d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f<\/strong> nedeni ile T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 baz\u0131nda ucuzlayan varl\u0131klar\u0131 sat\u0131n alma veya ortakl\u0131k kurma konular\u0131ndaki<\/strong> i\u015ftahlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f beklemekteyiz. \u00d6zellikle uluslararas\u0131 rekabete<\/strong> a\u00e7\u0131k geli\u015fmi\u015f altyap\u0131s\u0131 olan sekt\u00f6rlerimiz i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck i\u015f\u00e7ilik maliyetlerinin<\/strong> yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan cazibeyi art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 da<\/strong> beklemekteyiz. Yan\u0131 s\u0131ra \u00f6zellikle pandemi krizi<\/strong> nedeni ile uluslararas\u0131 tedarik zincirinde ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fimlere paralel olarak T\u00fcrk \u015firketlerin Avrupa<\/strong> ve Kuzey Amerika<\/strong> ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere al\u0131c\u0131 pazarlar\u0131na daha yak\u0131n olmak amac\u0131 ile yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m projelerine a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vermesi<\/strong> de beklenen bir trenddir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar sat\u0131n alma<\/strong> veya birle\u015fme<\/strong> \u015feklinde olabilece\u011fi gibi s\u0131f\u0131rdan yeni yat\u0131r\u0131m projeleri \u015feklinde de ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilecektir. \u00a0Ayr\u0131ca 2021<\/strong> ile birlikte sat\u0131n alma ve birle\u015fme i\u015flemlerinde OB\u0130 ve KOB\u0130 d\u00fczeyinde \u015firketlerin yer alaca\u011f\u0131 i\u015flemlerde art\u0131\u015f beklemekteyiz.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

Proje Finansman\u0131 A\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Etkileri<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Pandeminin yaratm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu belirsizlik ortam\u0131n\u0131n pek \u00e7ok sekt\u00f6rde riskleri art\u0131rm\u0131\u015f ve do\u011fru nakit ak\u0131\u015f tahmini yapabilme kabiliyetlerini de k\u0131s\u0131tlam\u0131\u015f durumda oldu\u011funu belirten Fatih Kuran<\/strong> s\u00f6zlerini \u015f\u00f6yle noktalad\u0131: \u201cProjelere faiz<\/strong>, vade<\/strong> ve di\u011fer kullan\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131 itibari ile uygun ko\u015fullarla finansman<\/strong> sa\u011flanmas\u0131 nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n tahmin edilebilirli\u011fine<\/strong> ba\u011fl\u0131 bir durumdur. Bu d\u00f6nemde fon sa\u011flay\u0131c\u0131 – ba\u015fta bankalar<\/strong> olmak \u00fczere finansal kurulu\u015flar\u0131n<\/strong> ekstra temkinli davranma e\u011filiminde olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmekteyiz. Yeni yat\u0131r\u0131m projelerin<\/strong> \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7arak ekonomiyi canland\u0131rma ama\u00e7l\u0131 devlet te\u015fviklerinde art\u0131\u015f<\/strong> ile fon sa\u011flay\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131<\/strong> rahatlatacak ilave devlet garantilerinin verilece\u011fi Kamu \u00d6zel Ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (PPP) projeleri<\/strong>nin artan kullan\u0131m\u0131 beklenebilir.<\/em><\/p>\n

Kal\u0131c\u0131, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir ba\u015far\u0131y\u0131<\/strong> hedefleyen \u015firketler 2020 sonras\u0131<\/strong> yeni d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeninin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik stratejik planlamalar\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> de\u011fi\u015fen durum<\/strong> ve ko\u015fullara<\/strong> uygun yapmak durumundalar. Finansal y\u00f6netim<\/strong> de stratejik planlaman\u0131n<\/strong> en kritik a\u015famalar\u0131ndan biri durumunda. Gerek sat\u0131n alma<\/strong> ve birle\u015fmeler<\/strong> gerekse de yeni projelerin finansman\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funda risk analizi ile y\u00f6netimi, finansal performans\u0131n do\u011fru \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclmesi ile esnek i\u015f modellerinin geli\u015ftirilmesi, nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na uygun uzun vadeli ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bor\u00e7lanabilme<\/strong> ama\u00e7l\u0131 do\u011fru fon kaynaklar\u0131na eri\u015fim ve \u015firket de\u011ferlemesi gibi alanlarda yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131<\/strong> ve gerekiyorsa uzman deste\u011fi al\u0131nmas\u0131nda<\/strong> say\u0131s\u0131z faydalar mevcut olacakt\u0131r.\u201d<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Uzmanlar pandemi krizinin yaratm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu sosyo-ekonomik etkilerin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 koronavir\u00fcs pandemisi nedeni ile modern d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":127943,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[51,53],"tags":[52259,56512,60720,85448,76173,85449,85451,85460,80075,85450,10790,85459],"views":38,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/127940"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=127940"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/127940\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/127943"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=127940"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=127940"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=127940"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}