{"id":120406,"date":"2020-09-17T23:40:21","date_gmt":"2020-09-17T20:40:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=120406"},"modified":"2020-09-17T23:43:27","modified_gmt":"2020-09-17T20:43:27","slug":"british-petroleumun-bp-enerji-gorunumu-2020-raporu-yayimlandi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/british-petroleumun-bp-enerji-gorunumu-2020-raporu-yayimlandi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) British Petroleum’un BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2020 Raporu Yay\u0131mland\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiliz enerji\u00a0\u015firketi\u00a0British\u00a0Petroleum’un (BP) gelece\u011fin enerji trendlerine \u0131\u015f\u0131k tuttu\u011fu\u00a0\u201cEnerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc\u201d\u00a0Raporu\u2019nun 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 lansman\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Londra\u2019da d\u00fczenlenen ve internet \u00fczerinden canl\u0131 takip edilen konferansta 3 senaryo dahilinde \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclere yer verildi. Rapora g\u00f6re, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 30 sene i\u00e7inde enerji talebi art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterecek. Bu art\u0131\u015f i\u00e7inde petrole olan talep azal\u0131rken, yenilenebilir enerjinin y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7mesi bekleniyor. BP\u2019nin kaynak\u00a0\u00fcretimine odaklanm\u0131\u015f uluslararas\u0131 bir petrol \u015firketinden m\u00fc\u015fterilere y\u00f6nelik \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm sunmaya odaklanm\u0131\u015f entegre enerji \u015firketine ge\u00e7i\u015finin daha detayl\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 BP haftas\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanan raporda,\u00a0 gelece\u011fin enerji trendleri ile ilgili beklentiler \u00fc\u00e7 senaryo \u00fczerinden payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131.<\/h1>\n

BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2020 Raporu<\/strong> k\u00fcresel enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcnde olas\u0131 yollar\u0131, k\u00fcresel enerji pazarlar\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 30 sene<\/strong> i\u00e7inde nas\u0131l geli\u015febilece\u011fini ve onlar\u0131 \u015fekillendirebilecek temel belirsizlikleri ele al\u0131yor. Raporun lansman\u0131nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 30 y\u0131lda<\/strong> enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne ili\u015fkin olarak, k\u00fcresel enerji piyasalar\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131 etkileyebilecek \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclere de yer verildi. Rapora g\u00f6re, d\u00fcnya daha \"\"d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck karbon t\u00fcketimi<\/strong>ne do\u011fru ilerlerken, k\u00fcresel enerji sistemleri<\/strong>; yak\u0131tlar aras\u0131ndaki artan rekabet ve m\u00fc\u015fterilerin ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda \u00e7e\u015fitlenerek d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Elektrikle\u015fme<\/strong> artt\u0131k\u00e7a, enerji t\u00fcketimi de fosil yak\u0131tlardan yenilenebilir enerjiye do\u011fru<\/strong> y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftiriyor. Karbon fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f<\/strong> gibi belirleyici politik \u00f6nlemlerinse, enerji kullan\u0131m\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131<\/strong> kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak azaltmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

BP CEO\u2019su Bernard Looney<\/strong>\u00a0konuyla ilgili olarak, \u201cBP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Raporu<\/strong> de\u011fi\u015fen enerji resmini daha iyi anlamam\u0131z ve yeni stratejimizi geli\u015ftirmemize yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan paha bi\u00e7ilemez. Bu y\u0131l\u0131n Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc raporu<\/strong>, daha \u00f6ncekilerden 10 y\u0131l \u00f6tesi<\/strong>ne giderek, s\u0131f\u0131r emisyon \u015firketi<\/strong> olma amac\u0131m\u0131za ula\u015fmay\u0131 hedefledi\u011fimiz 2050 y\u0131l\u0131na<\/strong> uzan\u0131yor. Pandemi, k\u00fcresel karbon emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde azaltm\u0131\u015f olsa da; d\u00fcnya s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmayan bir yolda devam ediyor. Ancak, belirleyici politik \u00f6nlemler<\/strong> ve hem firmalar\u0131n<\/strong> hem de t\u00fcketicilerin<\/strong> daha \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck karbon se\u00e7imleri<\/strong>yle; enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc<\/strong> hala ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilebilir. Bundan dolay\u0131 da gelecek konusunda iyimser kalmaya devam ediyorum\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen lansmanda bu y\u0131l\u0131n BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc raporu<\/strong>nu sunan\u00a0BP Grup Ba\u015f Ekonomisti Spencer Dale<\/strong>,\u00a0\u201cEnerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Raporu<\/strong>\u2019nun rol\u00fc, enerji sistemlerinin zaman i\u00e7inde nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015fece\u011fini tahmin etmek de\u011fil. Onun yerine Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Raporu<\/strong>, bu farkl\u0131 senaryolar\u0131; daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck karbonlu bir d\u00fcnyaya do\u011fru enerji sistemleri<\/strong>ndeki d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcmlerin kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki belirsizli\u011fi daha iyi anlamam\u0131z\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131yor. Bu belirsizli\u011fi<\/strong> daha iyi anlamam\u0131z, kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fimiz sonu\u00e7lara y\u00f6nelik sa\u011flam<\/strong> ve diren\u00e7li<\/strong> bir strateji tasarlamam\u0131z a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir girdi\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Raporu<\/strong>\u2019nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 30 y\u0131l\u0131n<\/strong> olas\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 ke\u015ffetmeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmak tasarlanan H\u0131zl\u0131 (Rapid), S\u0131f\u0131r Emisyon (Net Zero)<\/strong> ve Mevcut Durum (Business-as-usual)<\/strong> olarak 3 senaryo \u00fczerinde<\/strong> duruluyor. Bu senaryolar, tahmin olmaktan ziyade; politikalar<\/strong> ve toplumsal tercihlerle<\/strong> alakal\u0131 alternatif varsay\u0131mlara dayan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

3 senaryoda da geli\u015fen ekonomilerde, artan refah ve ya\u015fam standartlar\u0131 nedeniyle enerji talebi<\/strong> art\u0131yor. Rapid<\/strong> ve Net Zero<\/strong>\u2019ya g\u00f6re 1’incil<\/strong> enerji talebi 15 y\u0131l<\/strong> i\u00e7inde y\u00fckseli\u015f sonras\u0131 dura\u011fan bir noktaya gelirken; Business-as-usual (BAU)<\/strong>\u2019a g\u00f6re 30 y\u0131l boyunca<\/strong> talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 devam ederek, 2050\u2019ye kadar<\/strong>, % 25<\/strong> oran\u0131nda art\u0131\u015fa sebep olacak.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcm senaryolarda \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 30 y\u0131l<\/strong> i\u00e7inde petrol talebi<\/strong>nde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131l\u0131yor: 2050\u2019ye<\/strong> kadar BAU\u2019ya g\u00f6re % 10<\/strong>, Rapid\u2019e g\u00f6re % 55<\/strong> ve Net Zero\u2019ya g\u00f6re ise % 80<\/strong>\u2019lik bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olabilece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Yenilenebilir enerji<\/strong> de en h\u0131zla geli\u015fen enerji kayna\u011f\u0131<\/strong> olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 2018\u2019de<\/strong> % 5<\/strong> olan yenilenebilir enerjilerin geli\u015fimi 2050\u2019ye<\/strong> kadar, Net Zero<\/strong>\u2019ya g\u00f6re % 60<\/strong>, Rapid\u2019e g\u00f6re % 45<\/strong> ve BAU\u2019<\/strong>ya g\u00f6re % 20<\/strong> oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Senaryolarla ilgili ayr\u0131nt\u0131larsa \u015fu \u015fekildedir;<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

Rapid (H\u0131zl\u0131) senaryosu<\/strong>na g\u00f6re, karbon fiyatlar\u0131<\/strong>nda \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 politika \u00f6nlemlerinin getirilmesi; enerji kullan\u0131m\u0131ndan kaynaklanan karbon emisyonlar\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131n 2018<\/strong> seviyelerine g\u00f6re 2050 y\u0131l\u0131na<\/strong> kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k % 70<\/strong> azalmas\u0131na neden oluyor.<\/p>\n

Net Zero (S\u0131f\u0131r Emisyon)<\/strong> senaryosu, Rapid senaryosu<\/strong>nun d\u00f6ng\u00fcsel ve payla\u015f\u0131m ekonomilerinin daha fazla benimsenmesi ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck karbonlu enerji kaynaklar\u0131<\/strong>na ge\u00e7i\u015f gibi politika \u00f6nlemlerinin; toplumsal<\/strong> ve t\u00fcketici davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131<\/strong> ve tercihlerindeki \u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fimlerle g\u00fc\u00e7lendirildi\u011fini varsay\u0131yor. Bu durum, 2050 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar<\/strong> karbon emisyonlar\u0131<\/em>ndaki azalmay\u0131 % 95<\/strong>‘in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

BAU (Mevcut Durum) senaryosu; h\u00fck\u00fcmet politikalar\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131n, teknolojileri<\/strong>nin ve toplumsal tercihlerin<\/strong> yak\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fte g\u00f6r\u00fclen bir tarzda ve h\u0131zla geli\u015fmeye devam etti\u011fini varsay\u0131yor. BAU senaryosu<\/strong>nda, enerji kullan\u0131m\u0131ndan kaynaklanan karbon emisyonlar\u0131<\/strong> 2020’lerin ortalar\u0131nda zirve yapaca\u011f\u0131, ancak \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azalmayaca\u011f\u0131; 2050<\/strong>‘deki emisyonlar\u0131n, 2018<\/strong> seviyelerinin % 10<\/strong> alt\u0131nda olaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Hem Rapid<\/strong> hem de Net Zero<\/strong> senaryolar\u0131 karbon fiyatlar\u0131<\/strong>nda 2050’ye<\/strong> kadar, geli\u015fmi\u015f d\u00fcnyada 250 dolar \/ ton CO2<\/strong>‘ye ula\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 ve geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerde ise 175 dolar\/ ton<\/strong> gibi \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bir art\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 varsay\u0131yor. Bu oran BAU senaryosu<\/strong>nda \u00e7ok daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck; geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde 65 dolar\/CO2<\/strong> ve geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerde 35 dolar\/CO2<\/strong> \u015feklinde karbon fiyatlar\u0131<\/strong> ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. \u0130ngiliz enerji\u00a0\u015firketi\u00a0British\u00a0Petroleum’un (BP) gelece\u011fin enerji trendlerine \u0131\u015f\u0131k tuttu\u011fu\u00a0\u201cEnerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc\u201d\u00a0Raporu\u2019nun 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 lansman\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Londra\u2019da d\u00fczenlenen ve internet \u00fczerinden canl\u0131 takip edilen konferansta […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":120409,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,52,44],"tags":[47906,79375,79374,12844,54964,79377,41669,52259,79376,79378,19314,79380,53153,2415,79379,54979],"views":247,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120406"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120406"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120406\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/120409"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120406"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120406"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120406"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}