{"id":111810,"date":"2020-04-14T14:19:00","date_gmt":"2020-04-14T11:19:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=111810"},"modified":"2020-04-14T14:21:46","modified_gmt":"2020-04-14T11:21:46","slug":"covid-19un-ekonomiye-etkisi-en-az-bir-yil-surecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/covid-19un-ekonomiye-etkisi-en-az-bir-yil-surecek\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Covid-19\u2019un Ekonomiye Etkisi En Az Bir Y\u0131l S\u00fcrecek"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

KPMG T\u00fcrkiye, Covid-19\u2019un i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131 nas\u0131l etkiledi\u011fini ara\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Ankete kat\u0131lan i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 temsilcileri k\u00fcresel salg\u0131n\u0131n ekonomiye olumsuz etkisinin ortadan kalkmas\u0131 i\u00e7in en az bir y\u0131la ihtiya\u00e7 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/strong><\/h1>\n

\"\"<\/strong><\/h1>\n

KPMG T\u00fcrkiye Strateji ve Operasyonlar Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k<\/strong> ekibi, 1 – 6 Nisan tarihleri<\/strong> aras\u0131nda t\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rlerdenyakla\u015f\u0131k 250 ki\u015finin kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131<\/strong>yla Covid-19 Etki Ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131<\/strong> yapt\u0131. Aral\u0131k 2019\u2019da \u00c7in\u2019den ba\u015flayarak t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyaya yay\u0131lan ve pandemiye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fen koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131na ve sekt\u00f6rlere etkileri ara\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. KPMG T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 temsilcileriyle ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi anket, salg\u0131n sonras\u0131 d\u00f6nemle ilgili \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclere de \u0131\u015f\u0131k tutuyor. Covid-19 sonras\u0131 toparlanma s\u00fcres<\/strong>i ve \u015fekli ile ilgili farkl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler<\/strong> bulunmakla beraber \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen zaman 3 ay ile 12+ ay aras\u0131na yay\u0131l\u0131yor. Bununla beraber ekonomide \u00f6nemli daralma \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

KPMG T\u00fcrkiye Strateji ve Operasyonlar Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k Lideri ve \u015eirket Orta\u011f\u0131 Serkan Ercin<\/strong>, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de k\u00fcresel \u00f6rneklere benzer \u015fekilde, farkl\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerin bu \u00f6nlemlerden farkl\u0131 derecede etkilendi\u011fini, kimi sekt\u00f6rlerin bu etkilerden \u00e7ok \u00f6nce nasibini almaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ise bu etkileri sonradan hissetmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Ercin, \u201cSosyo-ekonomik hareketlili\u011fin azalmas\u0131n<\/strong>a ba\u011fl\u0131 ya\u015fanan sorunlar\u0131n ortadan kalkmas\u0131 i\u00e7in pandeminin kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131<\/strong> ve bunu takiben hayat\u0131n normale d\u00f6nece\u011fi tarih merak edilmektedir. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 sonras\u0131 ya\u015fanacak ekonomik toparlanma konusunda da farkl\u0131 tahminler bulunmaktad\u0131r. Covid-19 sonras\u0131 \u00fclkemiz ve d\u00fcnya ekonomileri i\u00e7in olas\u0131 toparlanma senaryolar\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, 3 ay ile 12+ ay aras\u0131nda zamana yay\u0131lan ve ekonomide \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde daralma \u00f6ng\u00f6ren tahminler g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Di\u011fer taraftan, bu toparlanmalar\u0131n da sekt\u00f6rler ve \u015firketler baz\u0131nda farkl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6sterece\u011finin, bu d\u00f6neme haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 giren, do\u011fru kararlar alan ve yeni normale uyum sa\u011flayan yap\u0131lar\u0131n bu s\u00fcre\u00e7ten en iyi \u015fekilde \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rmadan \u00e7\u0131kan ba\u015fl\u0131klar \u015fu \u015fekildedir:<\/span><\/p>\n

Y\u00fczde 88 \u2018y\u00fcksek etki\u2019 diyor<\/strong><\/h2>\n

– Ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 88\u2019i Covid-19\u2019un T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisini y\u00fcksek derecede etkileyece\u011fi<\/strong> g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde. Y\u00fczde 12\u2019si ise orta d\u00fczeyde etki edece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

– Ankete kat\u0131lan \u015firket temsilcilerinin y\u00fczde 80<\/strong>\u2019inden fazlas\u0131 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda<\/strong> T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde y\u00fczde 3\u2019ten fazla<\/strong> daralma bekledi\u011fini ifade ediyor. Y\u00fczde 30\u2019u y\u00fczde 6\u2019dan fazla daralma \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor, y\u00fczde 19\u2019u ise b\u00fcy\u00fcme bekliyor.<\/p>\n

\u00a0En az bir y\u0131l s\u00fcrecek<\/strong><\/h2>\n

– Covid-19<\/strong>\u2019un T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi \u00fczerinde etkisinin ortadan kalkmas\u0131 i\u00e7in en az 12 ay<\/strong> gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yleyenlerin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 35. Y\u00fczde 19\u2019luk kesim en az 3-6<\/strong> ay gerekti\u011fini, y\u00fczde 21,9\u2019luk kesim ise 6-9 ay s\u00fcrece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Sekt\u00f6rlere etkisi<\/strong><\/h2>\n

– Sekt\u00f6r temsilcilerinin hemen hemen tamam\u0131 Covid-19<\/strong>\u2019un faaliyet g\u00f6sterdikleri sekt\u00f6r\u00fc \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde etkiledi\u011fini belirtiyor. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 42\u2019si pandeminin faaliyet g\u00f6sterdikleri sekt\u00f6r\u00fc orta derecede etkiledi\u011fi, y\u00fczde 50<\/strong>\u2019si ise y\u00fcksek derecede etkiledi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde. Y\u00fczde 7\u2019si etki yaratmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ya da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck derecede etkiledi\u011fini ifade ediyor.<\/p>\n

– T\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rler Covid-19\u2019un ekonomik etkilerini<\/strong> hissederken enerji, ila\u00e7, end\u00fcstriyel \u00fcretim ve kimya sekt\u00f6rleri<\/strong>nde etkinin g\u00f6rece daha az hissedildi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

– Sekt\u00f6r baz\u0131nda toparlanma beklentileri \u00fclke ekonomisindeki beklentilere paralellik g\u00f6stermekle beraber end\u00fcstriyel \u00fcretim, tekstil, turizm \/ ev d\u0131\u015f\u0131 t\u00fcketim, enerji, in\u015faat ve yiyecek \u2013 i\u00e7ecek sekt\u00f6rleri<\/strong>nde toparlanman\u0131n 2020 sonras\u0131na<\/strong> sarkaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

KOB\u0130\u2019ler y\u00fczde 95<\/strong><\/h2>\n

– Covid-19\u2019dan en fazla etkilenen kesim olan KOB\u0130<\/strong> d\u00fcnyas\u0131ndaki oran y\u00fczde 95 olarak telaffuz ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Evden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya <\/strong><\/h2>\n

– Ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 58\u2019i t\u00fcm \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131 salg\u0131n\u0131ndan korumak i\u00e7in evden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma sistemi<\/strong>\u00a0ene ge\u00e7ti\u011fini belirtiyor. Y\u00fczde 20\u2019si yaln\u0131zca beyaz yakaya evden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma uygulamas\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Evden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan sekt\u00f6rler e\u011fitim, hukuk, finansal hizmetler, bankac\u0131l\u0131k, sigortac\u0131l\u0131k, emeklilik ve hayat, enerji<\/strong> olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Kimse krize haz\u0131r de\u011fil<\/strong><\/h2>\n

– Krize haz\u0131rl\u0131k<\/strong> ve kriz y\u00f6netimi kabiliyetleri<\/strong> a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, \u015firketlerin cirosal b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckleriyle kriz y\u00f6netimi kabiliyetlerinin paralellik g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Kriz y\u00f6netimine dair prosed\u00fcr ve s\u00fcre\u00e7lere sahip KOB\u0130\u2019lerin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 25 iken, bu oran\u0131n cirosal oranla paralel artarak, cirosu 10 milyon TL\u2019den y\u00fcksek \u015firketlerde y\u00fczde 75\u2019lere \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zleniyor.<\/p>\n

– Covid-19 krizi<\/strong> medya, e\u011fitim, tekstil, enerji, kimya, finansal hizmetler ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6rleri ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere kriz y\u00f6netimi kabiliyetinin geli\u015ftirilmesi konusunda her sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn yol almas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

\u015eirketlerin s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 <\/strong><\/h2>\n

– Sekt\u00f6rlerin t\u00fcm\u00fc incelendi\u011finde Covid-19 nedeniyle \u015firketler en fazla finansmana eri\u015fimde s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 (y\u00fczde 25\u2019i), yurt i\u00e7i kaynakl\u0131 sat\u0131\u015flarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f (y\u00fczde 24\u2019\u00fc), \u00fcretim maliyetlerinde art\u0131\u015f (y\u00fczde 22\u2019si) ve likidite s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 (y\u00fczde 18\u2019i) beyan ediyor.<\/p>\n

Cirolar d\u00fc\u015fecek<\/strong><\/h2>\n

– Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar, Covid-19\u2019un \u015firketlerinin 2020 cirolar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 40\u2019lara varan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flere sebep olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyor, 2020 b\u00fct\u00e7elerinde \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde hedef revizyonuna gideceklerini belirtiyorlar. \u015eirket temsilcilerinin y\u00fczde 53\u2019\u00fc 2020 cirolar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2-20 aras\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklerken, y\u00fczde 36\u2019s\u0131 y\u00fczde 20\u2019den fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f<\/strong> bekliyor. Y\u00fczde 10\u2019u cirosunda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklemiyor. Ciro art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bekleyenlerin oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 1.<\/p>\n

– Covid-19\u2019un ciroyu en \u00e7ok etkileyece\u011fi sekt\u00f6rler 2020\u2019de y\u00fczde 40<\/strong>\u2019lara varan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekleyen turizm \/ ev d\u0131\u015f\u0131 t\u00fcketim, perakende \/ ma\u011fazac\u0131l\u0131k ve \u00f6zel giri\u015fim sermayesi sekt\u00f6rleri olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Paketler i\u00e7in ne dediler<\/strong><\/h2>\n

– Ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 43\u2019\u00fc h\u00fck\u00fcmetin a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 paketlerde yer alan vergi ve SGK primi erteleme deste\u011fini y\u00fcksek seviyede kullan\u0131labilir ve faydal\u0131 buluyor. Y\u00fczde 41\u2019i ise asgari \u00fccret deste\u011fi ve k\u0131sa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma \u00f6dene\u011fini y\u00fcksek seviyede kullan\u0131labilir ve faydal\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Kredi anapara ve faiz \u00f6demelerini erteleme deste\u011fini kullanabilir ve faydal\u0131 bulanlar\u0131n oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 27. Finansmana eri\u015fim ve kredi yap\u0131land\u0131rma i\u00e7in ise oran y\u00fczde 21\u2019dir.<\/p>\n

– Ekonomik \u0130stikrar Kalkan\u0131 paketi kapsam\u0131nda sunulan vergi ve SGK prim erteleme ve asgari \u00fccret deste\u011fi ve k\u0131sa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma \u00f6dene\u011fi desteklerin daha \u00e7ok g\u00f6rece k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ve orta \u00f6l\u00e7ekli \u015firketler taraf\u0131ndan faydal\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

– Ekonomik \u0130stikrar Kalkan\u0131 paketinde sunulan desteklere ek olarak kapsam\u0131n geni\u015fletilmesi<\/strong> ve \u015fartlar\u0131n iyile\u015ftirilmesi<\/strong> geliyor.Sa\u011flanan kredi imk\u00e2nlar\u0131n\u0131n iyile\u015ftirilmesi, vergi alan\u0131nda uzun d\u00f6nemli erteleme ve bor\u00e7lar\u0131n silinmesi, kapsama giren sekt\u00f6rlerin geni\u015fletilmesi, sekt\u00f6r \u00f6zeli kalk\u0131nma paketleri, \u015firketlerin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan maliyetlerini azalt\u0131c\u0131 ve kapsam\u0131 geni\u015fletilen istihdam destekleri talepleri<\/strong> \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. KPMG T\u00fcrkiye, Covid-19\u2019un i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131 nas\u0131l etkiledi\u011fini ara\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Ankete kat\u0131lan i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 temsilcileri k\u00fcresel salg\u0131n\u0131n ekonomiye olumsuz etkisinin ortadan kalkmas\u0131 i\u00e7in en […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":111822,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[51,53],"tags":[70111,67254,70115,70109,70114,1949,70113,70106,63,52259,69827,70110,22657,70105,69732,1264,26433,70117,70102,70104,70116,70112,70103,2364],"views":174,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111810"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=111810"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111810\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111822"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=111810"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=111810"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=111810"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}