{"id":106386,"date":"2020-01-14T11:11:02","date_gmt":"2020-01-14T08:11:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=106386"},"modified":"2020-01-14T11:22:18","modified_gmt":"2020-01-14T08:22:18","slug":"arastirma-kuresel-enerji-karisimi-onumuzdeki-20-yilda-nasil-degisecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/arastirma-kuresel-enerji-karisimi-onumuzdeki-20-yilda-nasil-degisecek\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Ara\u015ft\u0131rma: K\u00fcresel Enerji Kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131, \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 20 Y\u0131lda Nas\u0131l De\u011fi\u015fecek?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

\u0130ddial\u0131 enerji ve iklim taahh\u00fctlerini yerine getirmek s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funda, az say\u0131da \u00fclke bunu uyguluyor. Bunun bir \u00f6rne\u011fi Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 200 imzalayan \u00fclke, 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar d\u00fcnyadaki sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmak i\u00e7in g\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc vaatlerde bulunmu\u015f, ancak bir\u00e7o\u011fu bu vaatleri yerine getirme yolunda de\u011fildir. Dahas\u0131, \u00e7ok az say\u0131da \u00fclke, h\u00fck\u00fcmetler aras\u0131 \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Paneli (IPCC) taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6nerilen uzun vadeli hedef olan k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmay\u0131 2 derecenin alt\u0131nda tutmaya uygun iklim politikalar\u0131 izlemektedir. Buna y\u00f6nelik, birka\u00e7 uzman grubu, enerji senaryolar\u0131 \u00fcretmeye ve bunlar\u0131n iklim \u00fczerindeki etkilerini analiz etmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmektedir.<\/h1>\n

MIT K\u00fcresel De\u011fi\u015fim Bilimi ve Politikas\u0131 Ortak Program\u0131<\/strong> Direkt\u00f6r Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 ve MIT Enerji Giri\u015fimi<\/strong>\u2019nde k\u0131demli bir ara\u015ft\u0131rma bilimcisi<\/strong> taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki yirmi y\u0131lda k\u00fcresel enerji kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131 projeksiyonlar\u0131<\/strong> birka\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fck enerji senaryosu<\/strong> \u00fcreticisinden \"\"toplan\u0131rken 3 \u00f6nemli bulgu elde edildi:<\/span><\/p>\n

1- Fosil yak\u0131tlar azal\u0131yor<\/strong>, ancak yine de hakim<\/strong> durumdalar. Mevcut Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131 taahh\u00fctlerinin<\/strong> 2030\u2019un \u00f6tesinde<\/strong> oldu\u011funu varsayarsak, fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131n k\u00fcresel enerji kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131ndaki<\/strong> pay\u0131 bug\u00fcn yakla\u015f\u0131k %80<\/strong>\u2019den 2040\u2019ta %73-76<\/strong>\u2019ya d\u00fc\u015fmektedir. 2C hedefi<\/strong> ile tutarl\u0131 senaryolarda, bu pay 2040<\/strong> y\u0131l\u0131nda %56-61\u2019e<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015fmektedir. Bu arada, r\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015fin<\/strong> pay\u0131 bug\u00fcn %2<\/strong>\u2019den %6-13<\/strong>\u2019e (mevcut vaatler) ve 2040\u2019ta<\/strong> %17-26<\/strong>\u2019ya (2C senaryolar\u0131nda) \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

2- \u00c7oklu senaryolar, d\u00fcnya karbon yo\u011fun enerji kaynaklar\u0131ndan<\/strong> uzakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a fosil yak\u0131tlar i\u00e7in kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir gelecek g\u00f6stermektedir. K\u00f6m\u00fcr kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n<\/span> karbon yakalama ve depolama (CCS) teknolojisi<\/strong> ile birle\u015ftirilmedi\u011fi s\u00fcrece s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir gelece\u011fi<\/strong> yoktur. K\u0131sa vadeli projeksiyonlar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10-15 y\u0131l<\/strong> i\u00e7inde CCS\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermemektedir. Ancak, do\u011fal gaz t\u00fcketiminin<\/strong> \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 20 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde artmas\u0131 muhtemeldir, ancak daha sonra CCS olmadan d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi<\/strong> \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n

3- G\u00fcne\u015f ve r\u00fczgar enerjisi<\/strong> geli\u015fiyor, ancak depolama zorluklar\u0131<\/strong> devam ediyor. Senaryolar, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck karbon ge\u00e7i\u015fi h\u0131z\u0131nda enerji verimlili\u011fi iyile\u015ftirmelerinin<\/strong> kritik \u00f6nemini, ancak bu geli\u015fmelerin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc konusunda \u00e7ok az fikir birli\u011fi oldu\u011funu<\/strong> g\u00f6stermektedir. Ancak, tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131z, g\u00fcne\u015f ve r\u00fczgar enerjisinin<\/strong> \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda ba\u015far\u0131lara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 i\u015faret ediliyor. Bu olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, maliyetlerin d\u00fc\u015fmesinden ve kesintili ve uzun vadeli enerji depolama zorluklar\u0131n\u0131n giderilmesinde<\/strong> ara\u015ft\u0131rma ve yenili\u011fin artmas\u0131ndan kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: \u201cStudy looks at how the global energy mix could change over the next 20 years\u201d, Phys\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

Yay\u0131na Haz\u0131rlayan: D\u00fcnya Enerji Konseyi \/ T\u00fcrk Milli Komitesi<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. \u0130ddial\u0131 enerji ve iklim taahh\u00fctlerini yerine getirmek s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funda, az say\u0131da \u00fclke bunu uyguluyor. Bunun bir \u00f6rne\u011fi Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 200 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":106388,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[46,51,53,52,49,24649,50],"tags":[54036,884,52259,3886,64855,26559,64858,53157,64856,6333,64857,64859,59125,64854,1471,11933,64853,64852,27427,53282,10368,793],"views":230,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106386"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=106386"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106386\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/106388"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=106386"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=106386"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=106386"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}