{"id":105641,"date":"2020-01-01T23:06:32","date_gmt":"2020-01-01T20:06:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=105641"},"modified":"2020-01-16T15:08:54","modified_gmt":"2020-01-16T12:08:54","slug":"2020-yiliyla-birlikte-cati-ges-projeleri-ve-fizibilite-calismalarina-genel-bakis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/2020-yiliyla-birlikte-cati-ges-projeleri-ve-fizibilite-calismalarina-genel-bakis\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) 2020 Y\u0131l\u0131yla Birlikte ‘\u00c7at\u0131 GES Projeleri’ ve ‘Fizibilite \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131’na Genel Bak\u0131\u015f"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde temiz enerjide en g\u00fcncel trendlerinden birisi de t\u00fcketicilerin, \u00e7at\u0131 \u00fcstlerine kurulan PV g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi sistemleriyle kendi elektriklerini \u00fcretebilmeleridir. \u00c7ok de\u011fil, bundan birka\u00e7 ay \u00f6nceki faiz oranlar\u0131 ve o d\u00f6nemdeki zams\u0131z elektrik fiyatlar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, yap\u0131lan baz\u0131 TL bazl\u0131 hesaplamalarda, GES projelerinin ‘net bug\u00fcnk\u00fc de\u011fer’leri olumsuz sonu\u00e7lanmaktayd\u0131. Bir ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle, g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisine yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmaktansa, bu sermayeyi vadeli mevduatta de\u011ferlendirmek finansal a\u00e7\u0131dan daha avantajl\u0131yd\u0131.<\/h1>\n

Yak\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fte elektrik fiyatlar\u0131<\/strong> g\u00fcncellendi, faizler d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc ve yap\u0131lan yat\u0131r\u0131m tekliflerinde de genel olarak hafif bir azal\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bunlara ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak enerji piyasas\u0131nda, yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n geri \u00f6deme s\u00fcreleri<\/strong> ile ilgili \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00dclkemizdeki yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n fizibilite \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131nda \"\"a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak 4-5 seneden<\/strong> ba\u015flayarak, 15 seneye varan<\/strong>, hatta 15 seneden de<\/strong> fazla geri \u00f6deme s\u00fcreleri ifade edilebilmektedir.<\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mlara y\u00f6nelik\u00a0T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den<\/strong> s\u00f6z edilirken, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin<\/strong> b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00fclke oldu\u011fu, \u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131m de\u011ferlerinin<\/strong> b\u00f6lgeden b\u00f6lgeye farkl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6sterebilece\u011fi unutulmaktad\u0131r. Serbest piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131nda<\/strong>, do\u011fal olarak farkl\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m maliyetlerine rastlanmakta olup \u00f6z t\u00fcketim \u00f6zelinde<\/strong> yap\u0131lan hesaplamalar i\u00e7in elektrik birim fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 2 kat\u0131na<\/strong> kadar farkl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stermesi, girdi olarak proje de\u011ferlendirmesinde<\/strong> daha etkili bir fakt\u00f6rd\u00fcr. Bu durum ayn\u0131 \u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131m de\u011ferleri ve yat\u0131r\u0131m maliyetiyle<\/strong> kurulan, ancak farkl\u0131 elektrik birim fiyat\u0131na<\/strong> sahip iki ayr\u0131 tesisin geri \u00f6deme s\u00fcresinin<\/strong> hesaplanmas\u0131 sonucunda, birinde 7 y\u0131l<\/strong>, di\u011ferinde 14 y\u0131l olarak<\/strong> ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilmektedir. Bu nedenle farkl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 do\u011fal kar\u015f\u0131lamak gerekir.<\/p>\n

Fizibilitelerde olu\u015fturulan nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131yla<\/strong> ili\u015fkili di\u011fer bir konu da \u00f6z t\u00fcketim i\u00e7in art\u0131k al\u0131m garantisine<\/strong> ba\u011fl\u0131 sabit bir fiyat tarifesi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda elektrik fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n<\/strong> ne kadar olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n belirlenmesidir. \u00d6z t\u00fcketim modeliyle<\/strong> yat\u0131r\u0131ma daha uygun ve \u00f6zellikle elektrik t\u00fcketim<\/strong> miktar\u0131 fazla olan firmalar, g\u00f6receli olarak daha y\u00fcksek pazarl\u0131k g\u00fcc\u00fcne<\/strong> sahiptirler. Son 2 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen ekonomik dalgalanmadan \u00f6nce, bu pazarl\u0131k g\u00fc\u00e7lerini kullanarak<\/strong> birim elektrik fiyatlar\u0131nda indirimler alabilmekteydiler.<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nem i\u00e7inde;<\/span><\/p>\n

– Amerikan Dolar\u0131<\/strong> Kuru\u2019nun TL kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda<\/strong> sabit kalmas\u0131 veya de\u011fer kaybetmesi,<\/p>\n

– D\u00fcnya fosil yak\u0131t piyasas\u0131ndaki arz\u0131n art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak<\/strong> bu t\u00fcr yak\u0131tlar\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi,<\/p>\n

– Beklentilerden daha az ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilecek talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131<\/strong>,<\/p>\n

– Filtrasyon sistemleri<\/strong> gibi \u00e7evresel a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00f6nemli ve zorunlu baz\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n<\/strong> g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmesi,<\/p>\n

– Yerli ve yenilenebilir kaynaklar\u0131n<\/strong> yayg\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131na ve bu kaynaklardan \u00fcretilen elektri\u011fin artmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak,<\/p>\n

\u00f6zellikle s\u00f6z\u00fc ge\u00e7en y\u00fcksek pazarl\u0131k g\u00fcc\u00fc olan i\u015fletmeler<\/strong> i\u00e7in elektrik birim fiyat\u0131n\u0131n yeniden d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00f6zlemlenebilir. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3-4 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde<\/strong> ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilir ve uzun bir d\u00f6nem s\u00fcresince trendini koruyabilir. Bu durumda nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na, elektrik birim fiyat\u0131nda<\/strong> sabit %10-20<\/strong> art\u0131\u015f dahil etmek, ilerisi i\u00e7in tutarl\u0131 olmayabilir. Bilindi\u011fi \u00fczere bankalardaki enerji \u00fcretimi yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na<\/strong> y\u00f6nelik kredilerin sorunlu hale gelmesinin<\/strong> nedeni, yukar\u0131da s\u00f6z\u00fc ge\u00e7en ve benzeri unsurlar\u0131n elektrik fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fcndeki<\/strong> etkisinin do\u011fru \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclememesidir. Elektrik fiyat\u0131ndaki \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemeyen bu belirsizlik bankalar \u00f6zelinde<\/strong> bir risk unsuru da yaratmaktad\u0131r. \u00d6z t\u00fcketim modeliyle yat\u0131r\u0131m yapan firmalar, banka kredilerini faturalar\u0131ndaki<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kar\u015f\u0131layamay\u0131p, ilave olarak faaliyet gelirlerinden tamamlamak durumunda<\/strong> kalabilirler. Kesin olmamakla birlikte, elektrik fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi<\/strong> veya sabit kalma senaryosu<\/strong> da en az\u0131ndan fizibilitelerde<\/strong> yer alabilir. B\u00f6ylece, elektrik art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fru \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclememesi gibi ge\u00e7mi\u015fte de meydana gelen nedenlere dayal\u0131 s\u00fcrprizlerle tekrar kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131lmaz. Bu durumlar\u0131nda dikkate al\u0131nmas\u0131yla, banka kredi tahsis prosesi<\/strong> daha iyi i\u015fleyecek, geri \u00f6deme plan\u0131 ve buna benzer t\u00fcm kredi bile\u015fenleri<\/strong> do\u011fru tespit edilebilecektir.<\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131m \u00f6z t\u00fcketime ba\u011fl\u0131<\/strong> olundu\u011fundan, bu proje fizibilitelerinin<\/strong> \u00f6zellikle tarife analizi<\/strong>, enerji verimlili\u011fi<\/strong> gibi enerji y\u00f6netimi aktiviteleri<\/strong> ile beraber de\u011ferlendirilip; enerji \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fc, izlemesi ve t\u00fcketim kontrol\u00fcne<\/strong> olanak sa\u011flayan dijital yat\u0131r\u0131mlar<\/strong> da g\u00fcndeme al\u0131narak, irdelenmesi daha etkin olacakt\u0131r. B\u00f6ylelikle de\u011ferli finans kayna\u011f\u0131<\/strong>, enerji maliyetlerini<\/strong> en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye indirme y\u00f6n\u00fcnde, en verimli \u015fekilde kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olur.<\/p>\n

Salih T\u00dcRKAY – Y\u0131ld\u0131z Teknik \u00dcniversitesi \/ Y\u00fcksek Makine M\u00fchendisi –\u00a0salihturkay@hotmail.com<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde temiz enerjide en g\u00fcncel trendlerinden birisi de t\u00fcketicilerin, \u00e7at\u0131 \u00fcstlerine kurulan PV g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi sistemleriyle kendi elektriklerini \u00fcretebilmeleridir. \u00c7ok de\u011fil, bundan […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":105644,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[51,53,49],"tags":[3291,64102,64103,54838,64109,64099,6547,5070,54177,39213,64107,17969,13762,12,154,22028,20026,53157,64098,5982,51651,64111,64104,64097,64100,14030,64106,64110,54979,64108,3836,64101,64105],"views":942,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105641"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105641"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105641\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105644"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105641"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105641"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105641"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}