{"id":10545,"date":"2013-05-05T21:15:43","date_gmt":"2013-05-05T18:15:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=10545"},"modified":"2013-05-05T21:15:43","modified_gmt":"2013-05-05T18:15:43","slug":"entso-e-2020-itibariyle-38-gw-yeni-ve-guvenilir-kapasite-gerekli","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/entso-e-2020-itibariyle-38-gw-yeni-ve-guvenilir-kapasite-gerekli\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) ENTSO-E: 2020 \u0130tibariyle 38 GW Yeni Ve G\u00fcvenilir Kapasite Gerekli"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"qtranxs-available-languages-message qtranxs-available-languages-message-en\">Sorry, this entry is only available in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10545\" class=\"qtranxs-available-language-link qtranxs-available-language-link-tr\" title=\"Turkish\">Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p><p><strong>Avrupa\u2019da \u00fcretim yeterlili\u011fi, g\u00fc\u00e7 \u00fcretiminde halihaz\u0131rda tasdik edilmi\u015f yat\u0131r\u0131mlara ek olarak g\u00fcvenilir kapasitelerde 38 GW\u2019lik yeni yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131l\u0131rsa, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131na de\u011fin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilecek. Avrupa TSO birli\u011fi ENTSO-E\u2019nin \u201cSenaryo Durumu &amp; Yeterlilik Tahmini 2013\u201d dahilinde yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcncel tahminlerden bu sonu\u00e7lar \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. De\u011fi\u015fken yenilenebilir kaynaklar\u0131n (RES) pay\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 veya termoelektrik tesislerin beklenmedik \u015fekilde kapat\u0131lmas\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131m ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 daha da yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Yak\u0131n zamanda yay\u0131nlanan Senaryo Durumu &amp; Yeterlilik Tahmini 2013 (SO&amp;AF) 2013-2030, Avrupa TSO\u2019lar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan On Y\u0131ll\u0131k A\u011f Geli\u015fim Plan\u0131 2014\u2019\u00fc (TYNDP) olu\u015fturmak ve 2020\u2019ye uzanan d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in \u00fcretim ile talep aras\u0131ndaki yeterlilik durumunu de\u011ferlendirmekte kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. \u00dcretim ve talep i\u00e7in \u00fc\u00e7 senaryo belirliyor: 1) Ulusal Yenilenebilir Eylem Planlar\u0131 ve Avrupa 2020 hedefleri ile ayn\u0131 do\u011frultuda ilerleyen EU2020 senaryosu, 2) TSO\u2019lar\u0131n en iyi tahminlerine dayal\u0131 En \u0130yi Tahminsenaryosu ve, 3) yine en iyi tahminlere dayal\u0131 olan, fakat yaln\u0131zca g\u00fcvenilir g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00fcretim kapasitesi geli\u015fimlerini dikkate alanMutedil senaryo.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/05\/r\u00fczgar-ve-g\u00fcne\u015f-enerjisi-entso.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-10546\" title=\"r\u00fczgar-ve-g\u00fcne\u015f-enerjisi-entso\" src=\"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/05\/r\u00fczgar-ve-g\u00fcne\u015f-enerjisi-entso-300x185.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"185\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/05\/r\u00fczgar-ve-g\u00fcne\u015f-enerjisi-entso-300x185.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/05\/r\u00fczgar-ve-g\u00fcne\u015f-enerjisi-entso-80x50.jpg 80w, https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/05\/r\u00fczgar-ve-g\u00fcne\u015f-enerjisi-entso.jpg 476w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>En \u0130yi Tahmin senaryosu 2013 ile 2020 aras\u0131nda ortalama %1\u2019lik y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve RES kapasitesinin sadece yedi y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde %50 oran\u0131nda artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. R\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f \u00fcretimi beklenen RES kapasitesi art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ba\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor ve yeni kurulu kapasitede s\u0131ras\u0131yla %51 ve %28\u2019lik bir pay\u0131 temsil ediyor. Fosil yak\u0131t kapasitesinin 2015\u2019e de\u011fin ayn\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131 ve 2016\u2019da B\u00fcy\u00fck Yanmal\u0131 Tesisler Y\u00f6nergesi nedeniyle %1 oran\u0131nda azalaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor. Fosil yak\u0131t kategorisi i\u00e7erisinde en b\u00fcy\u00fck pay gazla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan elektrik santrallerindedir. Bunlar ayn\u0131 zamanda mutlak kapasitesi artan tek tesis t\u00fcr\u00fcd\u00fcr. Toplam ENTSO-E net \u00fcretim kapasitesi her senaryoda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n<p>En \u0130yi Tahmin senaryosuna g\u00f6re, mevcut \u00fcretim yeterlili\u011fi d\u00fczeyinin korunmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Avrupa sistemine 2020 y\u0131l\u0131na de\u011fin halihaz\u0131rda tasdik edilmi\u015f \u00fcretim yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ek olarak 38 GW\u2019lik yeni ve g\u00fcvenilir kapasite eklenmesi gerekecek.ENTSO-E bu gerekli yeni \u00fcretim kapasitesinin hizmete girece\u011fini ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Almanya, \u0130svi\u00e7re ve Bel\u00e7ika\u2019daki n\u00fckleer enerji santrallerinin kapanaca\u011f\u0131 tahminine ra\u011fmen 2020 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar uzanan tahmin d\u00f6neminin tamam\u0131nda \u00fcretim yeterlili\u011finin korunaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Fakat yeterlilik d\u00fczeyi, yaln\u0131zca onaylanm\u0131\u015f \u00fcretim yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 dikkate alan Mutedil senaryoda biraz daha olumsuz hale gelmektedir. Yenilenebilir \u00fcretimin genel enerji kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131na girmesine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, bu durum kurulu kapasitede gerekli yat\u0131r\u0131m d\u00fczeyinin beklenenden \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelebilir. G\u00fcvenilir kapasite b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin net \u00fcretim kapasitesine k\u0131yasla daha yava\u015f olmas\u0131, kullan\u0131lamaz kapasitenin pay\u0131nda art\u0131\u015fa neden olacakt\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca yenilenebilir \u00fcretimin enerji kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131na y\u00fcksek oranda girece\u011fi beklentisi, g\u00fc\u00e7 sistemlerinde dengeleme sa\u011flamaya y\u00f6nelik yeni tedbirleri gerekli k\u0131lmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>ENTSO-E, SO&amp;AF metodolojisinin fosil yak\u0131t tesislerinin ya\u015fayabilirli\u011fi gibi piyasa e\u011filimlerini tam olarak dikkate almad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. EURELECTRIC daha \u00f6nce bu eksikli\u011fi vurgulam\u0131\u015f ve ele\u015ftirmi\u015fti. ENTSO-E m\u00fcteakip raporlarda bu metodolojiyi geni\u015fletme planlar\u0131 yapmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>2020\u2019ye uzanan d\u00f6nemi kapsayan tahminlere ek olarak SO&amp;AF 2013 i\u00e7erisinde 2020 ve 2050 y\u0131llar\u0131na ait AB enerji hedefleri aras\u0131nda bir k\u00f6pr\u00fc olu\u015fturan 2030 vizyonu verileri bulunuyor. TYNDP 2014 paketi bu sonu\u00e7lardan da faydalanacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>EURELECTRIC Makale Yazan Niina Honkasalo (Terc\u00fcme Edilmi\u015ftir)<\/p>\n<p>Kaynak: <a href=\"http:\/\/enerjienstitusu.com\/2013\/05\/03\/entso-e-2020-itibariyle-38-gw-yeni-ve-guvenilir-kapasite-gerekli\/\" target=\"_blank\">Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Avrupa\u2019da \u00fcretim yeterlili\u011fi, g\u00fc\u00e7 \u00fcretiminde halihaz\u0131rda tasdik edilmi\u015f yat\u0131r\u0131mlara ek olarak g\u00fcvenilir kapasitelerde 38 GW\u2019lik yeni yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131l\u0131rsa, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131na de\u011fin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilecek. Avrupa [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10546,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,49,50],"tags":[63,67,5110,2326,227,13,474,69,16,5111,5112,105],"views":587,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10545"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10545"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10545\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10548,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10545\/revisions\/10548"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10546"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10545"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10545"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10545"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}