{"id":101003,"date":"2019-10-15T18:24:02","date_gmt":"2019-10-15T15:24:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=101003"},"modified":"2019-10-15T23:02:35","modified_gmt":"2019-10-15T20:02:35","slug":"surdurulebilir-olmayan-iklim-egilimleri-nin-belli-basli-uyarilarilari-na-dikkat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/surdurulebilir-olmayan-iklim-egilimleri-nin-belli-basli-uyarilarilari-na-dikkat\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir Olmayan \u0130klim E\u011filimlerinin Belli Ba\u015fl\u0131 Uyar\u0131lar\u0131na Dikkat!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

EIA taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanm\u0131\u015f olan rapora g\u00f6re, mevcut politika, d\u00fcnyadaki ekonomik ve n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki makul beklentiler ve teknolojideki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015flara dayanarak 2050 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar d\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir resmi \u00e7izilir. Bu bir \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc sa\u011flamaz, ama bunun yerine, 30 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde d\u00fcnyan\u0131n nas\u0131l g\u00f6r\u00fcnece\u011fine dair bir projeksiyon sa\u011flar ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclemeyen kritik sorunu ortaya koymak gerekir.<\/strong><\/h1>\n

– Toplam enerji t\u00fcketimi<\/strong>, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 30 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde<\/strong> neredeyse %50<\/strong> artt\u0131. Bu, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme (d\u00fcnya genelinde y\u0131lda %3 olan) ve d\u00f6nem i\u00e7inde n\u00fcfusun beklenen 2 milyar y\u00fckseli\u015finden<\/strong> kaynaklan\u0131yor. Talepteki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00e7o\u011fu, \u00e7o\u011funlukla zengin \u00fclkelerin OECD<\/strong> d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00c7in ve \"\"Hindistan<\/strong> liderli\u011findeki \u00fclkelerde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor.<\/p>\n

– Yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131<\/strong> h\u0131zla b\u00fcy\u00fcyor. Birlikte ele al\u0131nd\u0131klar\u0131nda, di\u011fer kaynaklar\u0131 bireysel olarak geride b\u0131rakarak, toplam k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131n 2050 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar<\/strong> en b\u00fcy\u00fck pay\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

– Ancak, hidrokarbonlara olan talep<\/strong> de artmaya devam ediyor. 30 y\u0131l sonra, toplam enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n neredeyse %70\u2019i toplu halde petrol, do\u011falgaz ve k\u00f6m\u00fcrden<\/strong> sorumlu olacak.<\/p>\n

– Petrol talebi g\u00fcnde 105 milyondan<\/strong> fazla varile y\u00fckseliyor. Rafine petrol ve di\u011fer s\u0131v\u0131 yak\u0131tlar<\/strong>, d\u00f6nem boyunca ula\u015f\u0131m i\u00e7in gerekli enerjinin %80\u2019inden fazlas\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> sa\u011flamaya devam edecektir. Her ne kadar elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n<\/strong> say\u0131s\u0131 bug\u00fcn 6 milyondan<\/strong>, 2050\u2019ye kadar 430 milyondan<\/strong> fazla olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, toplam hafif ara\u00e7lar, bug\u00fcn yakla\u015f\u0131k 1.1 milyar<\/strong> dolardan 2.4 milyar dolara<\/strong> y\u00fckseliyor ve \u00e7o\u011fu benzin kullan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

– Talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu sanayiden geliyor. \u00d6zellikle bu talep, kimyasal, g\u0131da, demir ve \u00e7elik<\/em><\/strong> gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin enerji yo\u011fun imalat\u0131nda<\/em> g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr. Yine, \u00c7in ve Hindistan<\/strong>\u2019daki faaliyetler taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6netiliyor.<\/p>\n

– K\u00f6m\u00fcr, k\u00fcresel olarak end\u00fcstri i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 olmaya devam etmektedir. 2050\u2019de bile t\u00fcm enerji t\u00fcketiminin d\u00f6rtte birini olu\u015fturuyor. Hindistan\u2019\u0131n k\u00f6m\u00fcr kullan\u0131m\u0131<\/strong> y\u0131ll\u0131k 1.1 milyar tondan 2.9 milyar tona y\u00fckseliyor.<\/p>\n

– K\u00f6m\u00fcr kaynakl\u0131 karbondioksit emisyonlar\u0131<\/strong> y\u0131lda yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,4 oran\u0131nda<\/strong> artmaktad\u0131r. Y\u0131lda %2.1 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi zaman, bu 1990\u2019dan 2018\u2019e<\/strong> g\u00f6re \u00e7ok daha iyidir.<\/p>\n

– Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131<\/strong>\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yans\u0131t\u0131lan bu t\u00fcr bir projeksiyon, sekt\u00f6rdeki ana \u015firketlerin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini yans\u0131tmaktad\u0131r. Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n s\u00fcren yenilenebilir kaynaklara kar\u015f\u0131 petrol ve do\u011fal gaz lehine<\/strong> a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klar. Enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc ger\u00e7ekten ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor ancak etkisi k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ve bu analizler b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne odaklanmaya devam edecek. R\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi<\/strong>, end\u00fcstriyel enerji gereksinimlerini<\/em> kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir de\u011fere sahiptir.<\/p>\n

Yay\u0131na Haz\u0131rlayan:<\/strong> D\u00fcnya Enerji Konseyi \/ T\u00fcrk Milli Komitesi<\/a><\/p>\n

Kaynak:<\/strong> \u201cHeed the Warning of Unsustainable Climate Trends\u201d,\u00a0Financial Times\u00a0<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. EIA taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanm\u0131\u015f olan rapora g\u00f6re, mevcut politika, d\u00fcnyadaki ekonomik ve n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki makul beklentiler ve teknolojideki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015flara dayanarak 2050 y\u0131l\u0131na […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":101007,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[51,53,52,49,50],"tags":[886,19,58800,1564,52259,148,18,58799,53157,58802,4034,1023,58801,6843,58463,2660,53315,2415,53282,45829,22188,4033,3733,55263,1022,508],"views":491,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101003"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101003"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101003\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101007"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101003"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101003"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101003"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}